TL;DR
- Over the Rainbow crate features 0.90% drop rate for progressive M24 skin – the rarest item
- Purchase options include single crates (200 G-Coins) or discounted 10-pack bundles (1800 G-Coins)
- Schematics and Polymers are essential for upgrading progressive weapons but have varying drop chances
- Strategic crate opening requires understanding probability mechanics and setting realistic expectations
- Available until November end – plan your spending strategy accordingly
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PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS introduced the vibrant Over the Rainbow crate on August 9, bringing a colorful arsenal of weapon cosmetics to the battlefield. This limited-time container showcases a particularly valuable progressive skin for the M24 sniper rifle alongside numerous other visually striking weapon finishes. Each cosmetic item features distinct acquisition probabilities that significantly impact their rarity and desirability among players.
The Over the Rainbow crate remains available for acquisition through the end of November, providing players ample opportunity to pursue their desired cosmetics. Individual crates cost either 10 Contraband Coupons or 200 G-Coins, while bulk purchasers can opt for the 10-crate bundle priced at 1800 G-Coins – representing a 10% discount compared to buying separately.
Understanding the probability distribution across different rarity tiers is crucial for setting realistic expectations when opening Over the Rainbow crates. The tier system progresses from Legendary (most rare) to Special (most common), with drop chances inversely proportional to item desirability. This creates a carefully balanced economy where premium items remain exclusive while ensuring players consistently receive some reward.
| Tier | Skin | Chance |
| Legendary | [PROGRESSIVE] Over the Rainbow – M24 | 0.90% |
| Epic | [BATTLESTAT] Over the Rainbow – K2 | 1.20% |
| Epic | Tick Tock – M416 | 1.00% |
| Epic | Gold Plate – AKM | 1.00% |
| Elite | Over the Rainbow – UMP45 | 2.00% |
| Elite | Over the Rainbow – Mini14 | 2.00% |
| Elite | Over the Rainbow – SLR | 2.00% |
| Elite | Gold Plate – Groza | 1.70% |
| Elite | Gold Plate – SKS | 1.70% |
| Elite | Desert Digital – M416 | 1.70% |
| Elite | Gold Plate – AWM | 1.70% |
| Elite | Silver Plate – SCAR-L | 1.70% |
| Elite | Silver Plate – S12K | 1.70% |
| Rare | Checkered Chrome – Groza | 2.70% |
| Rare | Checkered Chrome – PP-19 Bizon | 2.70% |
| Rare | Checkered Chrome – Mk47 Mutant | 2.70% |
| Rare | Desert Digital – Kar98k | 2.50% |
| Rare | Desert Digital – Mini14 | 2.50% |
| Rare | Gold Plate – UMP45 | 2.50% |
| Rare | Gold Plate – Sawed-Off | 2.50% |
| Rare | Silver Plate – UMP45 | 2.50% |
| Rare | Silver Plate – Tommy Gun | 2.50% |
| Rare | Gold Plate – Vector | 2.50% |
| Special | Tri-Stripe – DP-28 | 2.90% |
| Special | Tri-Stripe – Deagle | 2.90% |
| Special | Tri-Stripe – Crowbar | 2.90% |
| Special | Two-Tone – P92 | 2.90% |
| Special | Two-Tone – Crossbow | 2.90% |
| Special | Two-Tone – M16A4 | 2.90% |
| Special | Two-Tone – Mosin Nagant | 2.90% |
| Special | Gold Plate – Win94 | 2.80% |
| Special | Silver Plate – VSS | 2.80% |
| Special | Silver Plate – AUG | 2.80% |
| Special | Desert Digital – Win94 | 2.80% |
| Special | Desert Digital – Micro UZI | 2.80% |
| Special | Rugged (Orange) – M416 | 2.80% |
| Special | Rugged (Orange) – AKM | 2.80% |
| Schematics | 0.90% | |
| Polymers x50 | 8.30% | |
| Polymers x100 | 3.50% | |
| Polymers x200 | 1.50% |
The probability distribution reveals important patterns for strategic collectors. Progressive weapons like the M24 require Schematics for upgrades, making their 0.90% drop rate particularly significant. Meanwhile, Polymer materials follow an inverse quantity-to-probability relationship where larger bundles become progressively rarer.
Maximizing value from Over the Rainbow crates requires understanding both probability mathematics and smart resource management. The 10-crate bundle discount provides immediate 10% savings, but true optimization comes from combining bulk purchases with disciplined opening strategies.
Common Opening Mistakes to Avoid: Many players fall into the gambler’s fallacy trap, believing that previous unsuccessful openings increase future success chances. Each crate opening represents an independent event with fixed probabilities, meaning past results don’t influence future outcomes. Another frequent error involves chasing specific rare items without budget limits – statistically, obtaining the 0.90% M24 progressive skin requires approximately 111 crate openings for a 63% probability of success.
Advanced players should consider the long-term value of Polymer materials. While common items might seem disappointing initially, Polymers x50 (8.30% chance) and larger bundles provide essential upgrade resources for progressive weapons. These materials become increasingly valuable once you acquire schematic blueprints.
For optimal results, establish a clear budget before purchasing and focus on acquiring a diverse collection rather than fixating on single items. The crate system guarantees some reward from every opening, so even common items contribute to your overall arsenal customization. Remember that cosmetic preferences vary – what seems common to one player might be another’s preferred style.
Action Checklist
- Review complete drop rate table to identify desired items across all rarity tiers
- Calculate your budget and prioritize 10-crate bundles for maximum value
- Open crates in sessions rather than individually to track results systematically
- Save Polymers and Schematics for future progressive weapon upgrades
- Set realistic expectations – understand statistical probabilities before investing significant resources
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